Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | SEA -135 CSUN +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -14.8 (-25.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -10.7 (-21.7) | 137.8 (+3.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.9 (-20.9) | 132.6 (+8.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -9.4 (-20.4) | 134.5 (+6.5) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-7 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#10) | -3.3 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#6) | -1.43 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#9) | -2.04 (#207) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.250 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.06 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 11.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 84.6% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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