Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | PROV +115 IU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PROV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +21 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | PROV -3.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PROV -0.8 (-21.8) | 143.0 (-6.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PROV -2.9 (-23.9) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2024 | IU 89 – 73 PROV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PROV | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 7-12 |
| Home | 8-3 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#20) | 5.7 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#91) | 0.44 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#77) | 0.71 (#79) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PROV | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 56.9% |
| 3PT% | 43.8% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 60.8% |
| TOV% | 9.5% | 10.9% |
| ORB% | 42.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.2% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 26.9% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.