Virginia Tech
Hokies
76
–
58
FINAL
Neutral
Air Force Reserve Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Classic
South Florida
Bulls
Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | VT -350 USF +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | VT -12.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -8.7 (+9.3) | 144.6 (-10.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -9.0 (+9.0) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -8.7 (+9.3) | 142.7 (-8.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#45) | -6.8 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#2) | -1.86 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.71 (#2) | -3.03 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#13) | 0.264 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 45.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 82.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 61.2% |
Game Analysis
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