He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Madison Square Garden (Neutral) · March 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TA&M -2.0 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money TA&M -140 / WSU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total TA&M win
Actual TA&M +16 128 Won
Massey WSU -0.8 (+16.8) — —
Massey Totals — 130.6 (-2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -0.9 (+16.9) 133.5 (-5.5) 47% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TA&M -0.7 (+15.3) 133.4 (-5.4) 52% ✓
Baseline ML TA&M -0.3 (+15.7) 134.2 (-6.2) 54% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WSU -0.1 (+16.1) 134.1 (-6.1) 52% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TA&M WSU
Overall 27-13 22-15
Conference 9-9 11-9
Home 16-4 13-7
Away 5-5 8-5
Neutral 6-4 1-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.9 71.5
Avg Pts Against 66.4 64.9
Massey 10.4 (#45) 11.2 (#33)
Bradley-Terry 2.18 (#36) 1.47 (#71)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.64 (#39) 2.11 (#56)
RPI 0.561 (#64) 0.571 (#53)
Shooting & Four Factors TA&M WSU
FG% 43.9% 40.7%
3PT% 32.6% 33.8%
REB / G 35.2 37.1
OREB / G 11.8 12.5
AST / TO 1.00 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 48.1%
TOV% 19.2% 16.3%
ORB% 33.7% 33.4%
FT Rate 25.2% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 23.8% 20.8%
DRB% 66.8% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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