Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -350 WIU +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -7.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -8.8 (+17.2) | 144.3 (-10.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -7.2 (+18.8) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -7.9 (+18.1) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -7.5 (+18.5) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#158) | -3.8 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#138) | -0.80 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#162) | -1.06 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#142) | 0.447 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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