Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | WIS -190 COLG +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -8.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -7.2 (-0.2) | 140.7 (-13.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -6.4 (+0.6) | 137.9 (-10.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -7.0 (-0.0) | 138.9 (-11.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -6.8 (+0.2) | 140.8 (-13.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-2 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#35) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#12) | 0.02 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#16) | 0.14 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#15) | 0.520 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.