Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | HALL -110 TCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +27 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -0.6 (-27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -0.6 (-27.6) | 132.3 (-21.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -0.1 (-27.1) | 130.7 (-19.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.4 (-27.4) | 131.0 (-20.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.6 (-27.6) | 130.3 (-19.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#33) | 10.8 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#26) | 2.32 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#24) | 2.83 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#45) | 0.542 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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