Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | LSU -170 ISU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +5 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -5.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -4.5 (-9.5) | 130.6 (-17.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -4.8 (-9.8) | 128.4 (-15.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -3.7 (-8.7) | 131.4 (-18.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -4.4 (-9.4) | 130.7 (-17.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#15) | 10.0 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#31) | 2.25 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#27) | 2.70 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#41) | 0.531 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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