Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | VILL -475 DEL +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -15.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -13.0 (+7.0) | 134.5 (+5.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -14.3 (+5.7) | 133.0 (+7.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -12.3 (+7.7) | 132.6 (+7.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -13.1 (+6.9) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 17.1 (#12) | 1.4 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#5) | 0.71 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#6) | 0.69 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#5) | 0.537 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.