Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -17.0 Home covered |
| Money | TENN -550 LONG +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +32 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -16.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -13.7 (+18.3) | 136.1 (+7.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -14.0 (+18.0) | 132.8 (+11.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.9 (+19.1) | 134.9 (+9.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -13.2 (+18.8) | 134.3 (+9.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#7) | 1.9 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#7) | 0.69 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#8) | 0.60 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#6) | 0.527 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.