Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | SUU +105 KENT -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -1.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -0.1 (+3.9) | 140.6 (+21.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.3 (+2.7) | 141.9 (+20.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -0.6 (+3.4) | 143.2 (+18.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -0.9 (+3.1) | 143.4 (+18.6) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 16-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#182) | 1.1 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#166) | 0.74 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#175) | 0.82 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#122) | 0.537 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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