Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | CLE -550 UIC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -9.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -9.0 (-10.0) | 146.0 (+5.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.1 (-10.1) | 149.4 (+1.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -8.5 (-9.5) | 152.4 (-1.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -9.1 (-10.1) | 151.0 (-0.0) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 9-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#177) | -6.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#134) | -1.50 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#149) | -1.93 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#118) | 0.423 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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