Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +120 DEL -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -2.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -1.5 (+4.5) | 148.4 (+11.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -1.0 (+5.0) | 147.4 (+12.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -1.7 (+4.3) | 147.8 (+12.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.8 (+5.2) | 148.1 (+11.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | DEL 80 – 50 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | DEL 80 – 53 HAMP |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HAMP 67 – 66 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#235) | -2.3 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#223) | -0.69 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#216) | -0.82 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#203) | 0.451 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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