We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Halton Arena · January 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -3.0 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual CLT +4 138 Won
Massey CLT -4.1 (-0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 134.9 (+3.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -2.2 (+1.8) 134.7 (+3.3) 59% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -3.8 (+0.2) 137.2 (+0.8) 69% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -3.9 (+0.1) 138.0 (-0.0) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -4.6 (-0.6) 136.9 (+1.1) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2022 ODU 68 – 52 CLT
Feb 13, 2021 ODU 64 – 45 CLT
Feb 10, 2021 ODU 78 – 76 CLT

Game Analysis

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