Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -5000 CLE +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -29.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -26.1 (-13.1) | 146.8 (-5.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -19.6 (-6.6) | 146.3 (-5.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#97) | -10.5 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#86) | -0.38 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#87) | -0.58 (#232) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 30.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 10.5% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 19.0 | 20.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.67 | 0.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 31.4% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 27.6% |
| ORB% | 47.5% | 44.4% |
| FT Rate | 11.0% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 77.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 58.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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