Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN -2000 FAIR +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -17.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-31.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -13.8 (-1.8) | 149.4 (-23.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -9.9 (+2.1) | 146.8 (-20.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#252) | -7.2 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#140) | -0.38 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#139) | -0.56 (#225) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 27.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.7% | 13.8% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 30.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 48.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 65.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.