Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | USU -1400 CLT +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +29 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | USU -30.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -18.8 (+10.2) | 152.4 (+24.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -21.1 (+7.9) | 148.8 (+28.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | USU 79 – 53 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#9) | -2.5 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#134) | 0.38 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#109) | 0.47 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#18) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 57.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 52.0 | 21.0 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.11 | 4.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 67.6% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| ORB% | 54.1% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.5% | 64.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 59.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 10.5% |
Game Analysis
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