Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -4000 OMA +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -12.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -12.8 (-8.8) | 141.4 (-9.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -8.1 (-4.1) | 143.4 (-11.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#107) | 6.5 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#61) | 1.95 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#88) | 2.61 (#12) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 61.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.78 | 2.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 68.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 6.9% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 10.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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