Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -5500 QUIN +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +23 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -24.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -18.6 (+4.4) | 146.4 (+22.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -23.2 (-0.2) | 145.0 (+24.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 3, 2025 | SJU 108 – 74 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 15-5 |
| Home | 19-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#56) | -3.2 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#114) | -0.38 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#75) | -0.54 (#210) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.5% | 31.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 21.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.4% | 37.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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