I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Frank Erwin Center · December 29, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -34.0 Home covered
O/U 129.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +45 111 Won
Massey TEX -29.9 (+15.1) — —
Massey Totals — 124.2 (-13.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -26.5 (+18.5) 128.0 (-17.0) 91% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -23.8 (+21.2) 131.8 (-20.8) 91% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -28.1 (+16.9) 130.1 (-19.1) 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -28.6 (+16.4) 128.4 (-17.4) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2023 TEX 88 – 56 UIW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX UIW
Overall 22-12 7-25
Conference 10-8 3-11
Home 16-3 5-10
Away 4-7 1-11
Neutral 2-2 1-4
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.8 65.0
Avg Pts Against 60.6 77.7
Massey 13.6 (#25) -12.0 (#336)
Bradley-Terry 2.26 (#36) -2.74 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.06 (#36) -3.54 (#337)
RPI 0.572 (#61) 0.430 (#287)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX UIW
FG% 47.0% 41.2%
3PT% 34.4% 33.1%
REB / G 33.1 27.7
OREB / G 10.5 6.2
AST / TO 1.31 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 48.7%
TOV% 17.2% 23.1%
ORB% 33.9% 19.3%
FT Rate 24.0% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 57.9%
Opp TOV% 28.4% 18.5%
DRB% 71.1% 65.7%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 19.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.