Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -475 BRWN +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +31 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -6.2 (+24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -6.6 (+24.4) | 149.1 (+5.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -4.2 (+26.8) | 151.1 (+3.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -5.9 (+25.1) | 151.6 (+3.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -4.7 (+26.3) | 149.0 (+6.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | 1.9 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | 0.17 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#150) | 0.30 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#117) | 0.514 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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