Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | BYU -335 LIB +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -10.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -8.1 (-3.1) | 136.0 (+19.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -7.3 (-2.3) | 137.6 (+17.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -7.2 (-2.2) | 138.9 (+16.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -6.9 (-1.9) | 137.2 (+17.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#27) | 1.6 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#44) | 0.37 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#36) | 0.08 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#17) | 0.511 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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