Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | VAN +175 BYU -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -6.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -5.6 (+7.6) | 133.9 (+2.1) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -5.6 (+7.6) | 134.9 (+1.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -4.9 (+6.9) | 134.3 (+1.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -4.5 (+6.5) | 135.1 (+0.9) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-6 |
| Home | 11-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#82) | 12.7 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#140) | 2.54 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#132) | 3.42 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.659 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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