Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -320 VMI +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -11.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.6 (-14.6) | 147.6 (+23.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -11.4 (-18.4) | 146.5 (+24.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -10.1 (-17.1) | 147.2 (+23.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -11.2 (-18.2) | 148.1 (+22.9) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#121) | -3.3 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#138) | -0.72 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#165) | -1.00 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#211) | 0.395 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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