Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | LAF -130 NJIT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +4 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -0.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+49.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -3.5 (-7.5) | 136.5 (+39.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -1.7 (-5.7) | 133.3 (+42.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -2.2 (-6.2) | 133.1 (+42.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -1.9 (-5.9) | 136.2 (+39.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-9 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#308) | -3.0 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#261) | -1.47 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#299) | -2.61 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#240) | 0.396 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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