Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -250 UMBC +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -3.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -2.3 (+7.7) | 149.6 (-19.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -3.6 (+6.4) | 154.7 (-24.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.9 (+6.1) | 153.6 (-23.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -3.4 (+6.6) | 151.3 (-21.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2020 | UMBC 76 – 61 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#147) | 3.2 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#99) | 0.38 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#92) | 0.11 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#121) | 0.501 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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