Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -800 KENN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -9.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -11.9 (+14.1) | 138.5 (+11.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -7.8 (+18.2) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -8.1 (+17.9) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.5 (+18.5) | 141.4 (+8.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#150) | -2.6 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#194) | -2.07 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#197) | -2.57 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#198) | 0.459 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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