Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -1.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -1.8 (-1.2) | 144.4 (+6.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -0.9 (-3.9) | 149.5 (+1.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -1.4 (-4.4) | 148.3 (+2.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -0.3 (-2.7) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2020 | LMU 85 – 61 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 3-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#324) | -5.2 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#271) | -0.36 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#267) | -0.39 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#246) | 0.497 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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