Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -18.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -17.2 (-8.2) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -16.1 (-7.1) | 148.7 (-3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -18.0 (-9.0) | 150.1 (-5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -16.6 (-7.6) | 150.5 (-5.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#49) | -2.9 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#130) | -1.30 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#116) | -2.38 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#194) | 0.396 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.4% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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