Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -19.3 (-21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -16.1 (-18.1) | 144.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -14.9 (-16.9) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -15.9 (-17.9) | 151.3 (-17.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -18.4 (-20.4) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | COFC 85 – 78 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#33) | -2.4 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#4) | -0.60 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.40 (#6) | -0.66 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#17) | 0.458 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 46.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 42.1% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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