Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +2 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -10.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -6.1 (-4.1) | 145.0 (+23.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -7.2 (-5.2) | 144.2 (+23.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -7.5 (-5.5) | 145.2 (+22.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -7.7 (-5.7) | 148.6 (+19.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#157) | -2.3 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#136) | -1.19 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#143) | -1.69 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#72) | 0.481 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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