Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +18 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -20.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -18.6 (-0.6) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -16.5 (+1.5) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -16.8 (+1.2) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -16.6 (+1.4) | 144.7 (+13.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-16 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-10 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#69) | -8.0 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#85) | -3.01 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#94) | -5.04 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.660 (#14) | 0.425 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 43.1% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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