Florida Gulf Coast
Eagles
77
–
67
FINAL
Hilton Garden Inn FGCU Invitational
Western Michigan
Broncos
Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -21.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -13.3 (-3.3) | 144.8 (-0.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -14.4 (-4.4) | 146.5 (-2.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -14.8 (-4.8) | 147.5 (-3.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -15.9 (-5.9) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#185) | -15.7 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#198) | -0.44 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#203) | -0.39 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#84) | 0.534 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 32.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 20.4% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 36.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 9.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 58.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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