Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -22.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -14.6 (-9.6) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -13.9 (-8.9) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -15.7 (-10.7) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -16.3 (-11.3) | 136.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 22.7 (#2) | -0.1 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#25) | 1.18 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#21) | 1.31 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#18) | 0.563 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.2% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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