Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -9.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -8.6 (-5.6) | 149.7 (+7.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -7.7 (-4.7) | 143.6 (+13.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -8.1 (-5.1) | 145.0 (+12.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -8.7 (-5.7) | 148.7 (+8.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#109) | 1.4 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#31) | -0.55 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#36) | 0.38 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#20) | 0.411 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.8% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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