Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | JXST -150 DREX +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -1.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -1.0 (+9.0) | 134.5 (+1.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -1.7 (+9.7) | 136.2 (-0.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -2.0 (+10.0) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -2.5 (+10.5) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#167) | 1.6 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#321) | 0.60 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.60 (#332) | 0.56 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.351 (#331) | 0.534 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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