Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU +110 SUU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +14 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -3.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -2.2 (-11.8) | 153.8 (+6.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.8 (-12.2) | 147.6 (+12.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -1.4 (-12.6) | 149.8 (+10.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -1.6 (-12.4) | 152.3 (+7.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#285) | -2.6 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#211) | -0.26 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#191) | -0.45 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#223) | 0.429 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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