Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -19.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -9.9 (-0.9) | 138.3 (-17.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -12.4 (-3.4) | 139.5 (-18.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -13.0 (-4.0) | 137.9 (-16.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -12.0 (-3.0) | 138.3 (-17.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#164) | -11.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#127) | -2.22 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#144) | -4.13 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#132) | 0.354 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.