Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CAL +475 HALL -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +3 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -19.9 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -13.3 (+10.3) | 137.9 (-16.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -13.2 (+10.2) | 137.7 (-16.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -14.4 (+11.4) | 137.7 (-16.7) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -15.1 (+12.1) | 139.8 (-18.8) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#245) | 16.2 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#187) | 1.89 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#160) | 2.97 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#136) | 0.574 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 38.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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