Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | WAKE -2400 KENN +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +31 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -18.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -16.5 (+14.5) | 148.1 (+4.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -17.4 (+13.6) | 147.6 (+5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -19.9 (+11.1) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -18.8 (+12.2) | 150.4 (+2.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#61) | -4.0 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#87) | -1.97 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#97) | -2.95 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#213) | 0.475 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.