Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -13.2 (+18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -9.2 (+14.2) | 146.4 (-7.4) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -7.7 (+12.7) | 151.4 (-12.4) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -8.6 (+13.6) | 150.2 (-11.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -8.6 (+13.6) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-4 |
| Home | 4-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#302) | 5.7 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#173) | 1.57 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#195) | 2.63 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#75) | 0.536 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.