Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -270 CMU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -10.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -6.0 (+1.0) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -5.0 (+2.0) | 143.9 (+1.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -5.3 (+1.7) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -6.1 (+0.9) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#243) | -14.1 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#258) | -0.16 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#240) | -0.64 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#121) | 0.526 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 25.8 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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