Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | FGCU +175 URI -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -4.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.0 (+2.0) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.8 (-0.8) | 139.9 (-6.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -0.9 (+0.1) | 140.1 (-7.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -1.2 (-0.2) | 137.0 (-4.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | 3.4 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#259) | 0.80 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#248) | 1.63 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#90) | 0.596 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 37.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.