Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Stabler Arena · November 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread LEH -7.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money LEH -350 / COLU +290
Model Predictions
Spread Total LEH win
Actual LEH +7 151 Won
Massey LEH -8.0 (-1.0)
Massey Totals 149.5 (+1.5)
Bradley-Terry 26%
Weighted B-T 3%
Efficiency Plus ML LEH -1.4 (+5.6) 140.6 (+10.4) 55%
Baseline Tuned ML LEH -2.8 (+4.2) 142.9 (+8.1) 59%
Baseline ML LEH -3.8 (+3.2) 144.8 (+6.2) 68%
Baseline Plus ML LEH -2.0 (+5.0) 144.2 (+6.8) 61%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 21, 2025 COLU 8267 LEH
Nov 13, 2024 COLU 7675 LEH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LEH COLU
Overall 13-19 4-22
Conference 10-8 1-13
Home 9-7 3-10
Away 4-12 1-12
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 0-4 1-2
Streak L1 L12
Avg Pts For 68.4 66.6
Avg Pts Against 71.6 79.5
Massey -4.8 (#266) -5.5 (#277)
Bradley-Terry -4.11 (#359) -1.51 (#294)
W. Bradley-Terry -7.68 (#359) -2.13 (#284)
RPI 0.277 (#352) 0.351 (#330)
Shooting & Four Factors LEH COLU
FG% 41.2% 47.1%
3PT% 28.6% 37.9%
REB / G 37.8 31.7
OREB / G 7.8 9.3
AST / TO 0.56 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.8% 54.3%
TOV% 26.3% 19.3%
ORB% 22.8% 27.7%
FT Rate 22.2% 17.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.1% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 13.9% 18.4%
DRB% 77.4% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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