You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · November 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread IU -24.5 Home covered
O/U 127.0 Under
Money IU -4500 / JKST +1700
Model Predictions
Spread Total IU win
Actual IU +35 105 Won
Massey IU -21.8 (+13.2) — —
Massey Totals — 129.7 (-24.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML IU -22.4 (+12.6) 136.0 (-31.0) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IU -19.8 (+15.2) 133.9 (-28.9) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IU -18.5 (+16.5) 136.3 (-31.3) 88% ✓
Baseline ML IU -22.6 (+12.4) 136.1 (-31.1) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 25, 2022 IU 90 – 51 JKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IU JKST
Overall 21-14 11-19
Conference 9-11 9-9
Home 14-4 6-3
Away 3-8 5-15
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 4-0 0-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.8 60.9
Avg Pts Against 66.2 65.4
Massey 10.0 (#39) -4.4 (#259)
Bradley-Terry 1.88 (#55) -1.52 (#295)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.85 (#51) -2.09 (#281)
RPI 0.710 (#9) 0.382 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors IU JKST
FG% 48.7% 39.8%
3PT% 33.3% 38.8%
REB / G 40.2 33.0
OREB / G 8.8 10.0
AST / TO 0.94 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.8% 46.3%
TOV% 21.9% 21.4%
ORB% 26.9% 27.0%
FT Rate 24.1% 9.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 34.9% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 21.3% 19.5%
DRB% 72.0% 66.2%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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