Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +135 WKU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -4.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.4 (+1.6) | 140.8 (+1.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -1.0 (+3.0) | 137.8 (+4.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#137) | -4.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#70) | 0.27 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#77) | 0.29 (#137) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 16.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 29.4% |
| DRB% | 87.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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