Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | RICH -260 USU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +11 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -4.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.1 (-15.1) | 139.3 (+19.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -3.5 (-14.5) | 136.6 (+22.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#180) | -5.7 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#86) | -2.06 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#102) | -2.70 (#262) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.3% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.6% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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