What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
75 – 65
FINAL Neutral Rising Coaches Classic
South Carolina State Bulldogs
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread L-MD -10.0 Push
O/U 146.5 Under
Money L-MD -500 / SCST +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total L-MD win
Actual L-MD +10 140 Won
Massey SCST -2.7 (+12.7) — —
Massey Totals — 149.2 (-9.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 49% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SCST -0.2 (+10.2) 143.8 (-3.8) 46% ✗
Baseline ML SCST -0.7 (+10.7) 143.1 (-3.1) 45% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings L-MD SCST
Overall 14-16 15-16
Conference 8-10 7-7
Home 10-3 8-5
Away 3-12 5-8
Neutral 1-1 2-3
Last 5 0-1 0-2
Streak L3 L4
Avg Pts For 66.0 69.8
Avg Pts Against 66.5 74.4
Massey -0.6 (#154) 2.0 (#88)
Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#199) -0.32 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.46 (#202) -0.41 (#168)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors L-MD SCST
FG% 43.6% 35.3%
3PT% 28.0% 31.2%
REB / G 30.0 50.0
OREB / G 3.0 14.0
AST / TO 1.17 0.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 39.0%
TOV% 16.2% 20.6%
ORB% 8.8% 29.2%
FT Rate 21.8% 13.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 60.0% 36.5%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 11.3%
DRB% 81.8% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 30.9% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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