Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | SF -1600 PV +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +16 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | SF -22.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -19.2 (-3.2) | 152.3 (+15.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -22.7 (-6.7) | 151.9 (+16.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#27) | -1.6 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#91) | -0.32 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#40) | -0.47 (#211) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 20.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 3.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.9% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 48.4% | 11.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 64.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 56.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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