Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | WASH -1100 NAU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -12.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -4.4 (+6.6) | 138.5 (-3.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -5.6 (+5.4) | 136.6 (-1.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#256) | -5.0 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#275) | -0.32 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#267) | -0.49 (#231) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 26.7% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 16.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 51.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 27.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 28.7% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 30.0% |
| ORB% | 45.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 8.5% |
| DRB% | 85.7% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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